AMIGDALA: Alliance for Modelling Industries towards the Green Deal’s objectives And circuLArity
AMIGDALA supports European governments and industries in defining and evaluating pathways toward climate neutrality, sustainability and circularity by developing integrated models and shared data to analyze how decisions on regulations, incentives and investments affect economy, energy, materials and production across Europe. It combines decision analysis with scenario modelling to inform policy and industry choices in line with the European Green Deal.
The AMIGDALA project tackles one of Europe’s hardest problems: how to transform the industrial base so it becomes climate-neutral, circular and sustainable without sacrificing competitiveness or resilience. European policymakers and industry leaders face deep uncertainty because industrial transformation involves complex interactions among demand, global trade, energy systems, material flows and investment decisions. AMIGDALA builds an integrated modelling framework that links diverse economic, industrial, energy and material-flow models into one consistent system to simulate alternative future pathways from today up to 2070, including historical context from 1990. It then uses this framework to test how regulatory measures, incentives and investment choices influence greenhouse-gas emissions, energy demand, material use, competitiveness and market uptake of transformative technologies under different policy scenarios. The project brings together a European consortium of research institutions, universities, consultancies and industry partners.
Its core purpose is to provide accessible, robust, policy-relevant evidence that informs decisions in governments and industries, reducing uncertainty, supporting strategic planning, and aligning industrial transformation with the European Green Deal’s goal of climate neutrality by 2050. By improving transparency, standardising data and integrating models, AMIGDALA aims to foster shared understanding across stakeholders and accelerate Europe’s transition to a sustainable industrial future.
In what way does EnergyVille contribute to this project?
VITO is a core modelling partner and leads the scenario work in AMIGDALA. It develops the sector-coupled PyPSA-Eur model with detailed industrial data, hydrogen and CO₂ trade options, and power-to-X technologies, analysing near-optimal and spatially diverse transition pathways. VITO defines multi-dimensional scenarios, benchmarks EU industry pathways, applies hourly regional modelling, and leads WP3 on completing the integrated model and stakeholder dashboard, including key reports and technical workshops.
Katholieke Universiteit Leuven (KU Leuven) contributes specialised agent-based modelling expertise to represent how industrial actors make decisions under different policy and market conditions, integrating behavioural and institutional dynamics into the AMIGDALA modelling suite to deepen understanding of transition pathways and improve the realism of scenario outcomes.
